▸ Article
Levantamento mostra ministro da Fazenda à frente em dois cenários, seguido por Marina Silva e Guilherme Derrite na corrida eleitoral paulista
247 - O ministro da Fazenda, Fernando Haddad (PT), aparece na liderança da corrida ao Senado por São Paulo em dois cenários testados pelo instituto Paraná Pesquisas. A ministra do Meio Ambiente, Marina Silva (Rede), e o deputado federal Guilherme Derrite (PP) também figuram entre os primeiros colocados na disputa.
No primeiro cenário apresentado pelo instituto, Haddad soma 36,5% das intenções de voto. Marina Silva aparece em seguida, com 31,3%, enquanto Guilherme Derrite registra 29,9%.
Na sequência, o vice-prefeito da capital paulista, Coronel Mello Araújo (PL), tem 20,3%. O deputado federal Ricardo Salles (Novo) marca 11,5%. Também deputado federal, Paulinho da Força (Solidariedade) alcança 9,2%, e Baleia Rossi (MDB) soma 7,2%. O ex-deputado federal Robson Tuma (Republicanos) registra 5,8%.
No segundo cenário estimulado, Fernando Haddad mantém a dianteira, com 36,1% das intenções de voto. Marina Silva aparece com 31,5%, e Guilherme Derrite registra 27,2%.
Nesse recorte, o deputado federal Mario Frias (PL) surge com 16,1%. Ricardo Salles alcança 12%, enquanto Paulinho da Força tem 9,6%. O deputado estadual Gil Diniz (PL) registra 8%. Baleia Rossi soma 7,8% e Robson Tuma aparece com 6,3%.
De acordo com o Paraná Pesquisas, foram entrevistados 1.580 eleitores entre os dias 6 e 10 de fevereiro, por meio de entrevistas presenciais. A margem de erro é de 2,5 pontos percentuais, para mais ou para menos, com nível de confiança de 95%. O levantamento foi realizado com recursos próprios do instituto e está registrado no Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) sob o protocolo SP-04650/2026.
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▸ Source Quality 3/5
Source classification (primary/secondary/tertiary), named vs anonymous, expert credentials, variety
Summary
Relies on a single, named polling institute as the primary source, with no direct quotes from candidates or experts.
Findings 3
"aponta Paraná Pesquisas"
The article's core data is attributed to a specific, named polling institute.
Primary source"De acordo com o Paraná Pesquisas"
The source of the poll data is clearly named.
Named source"Levantamento mostra ministro da Fazenda à frente"
The article reports on the findings of the poll (a tertiary source) without incorporating direct primary sources like candidate statements.
Tertiary source▸ Perspective Balance 2/5
Acknowledgment of multiple viewpoints, counterarguments, and balanced presentation
Summary
Presents only the poll data without analysis, commentary, or perspectives from the candidates or political analysts.
Findings 2
"Haddad e Marina lideram disputa ao Senado em SP"
The article presents a single factual narrative (poll results) without exploring different interpretations or reactions.
One sided"No primeiro cenário apresentado pelo instituto, Haddad soma 36,5%"
The reporting is strictly a presentation of numbers from one source, lacking balanced perspective or counterpoints.
One sided▸ Contextual Depth 2/5
Background information, statistics, comprehensiveness of coverage
Summary
Provides basic poll numbers and methodology but lacks historical context, candidate background, or analysis of the political landscape.
Findings 3
"foram entrevistados 1.580 eleitores"
Provides basic methodological data from the poll.
Statistic"A margem de erro é de 2,5 pontos percentuais"
Includes key statistical context for interpreting the poll numbers.
Statistic"em dois cenários testados"
Acknowledges there are different scenarios in the poll, but does not explain what distinguishes them.
Context indicator▸ Language Neutrality 5/5
Absence of loaded, sensationalist, or politically biased language
Summary
Uses strictly factual and neutral language to report poll numbers and methodology.
Findings 3
"aparece na liderança"
Neutral phrasing to describe a poll result.
Neutral language"registra 29,9%"
Factual, numerical reporting.
Neutral language"O levantamento foi realizado com recursos próprios do instituto"
Neutral statement of fact regarding funding.
Neutral language▸ Transparency 4/5
Author attribution, dates, methodology disclosure, quote attribution
Summary
Clearly attributes data to Paraná Pesquisas, provides author, date, and detailed methodological disclosure, but lacks direct quote attribution.
Findings 1
"foram entrevistados 1.580 eleitores entre os dias 6 e 10 de fevereiro, por meio de entrevistas presenciais"
Detailed methodology of the poll is disclosed.
Methodology▸ Logical Coherence 5/5
Internal consistency of claims, absence of contradictions and unsupported causation
Summary
The article presents poll data consistently without internal contradictions or unsupported claims.
Findings 1
"Haddad e Marina lideram disputa"
This is a reported finding from a poll, not an unsupported causal claim by the article itself. The article logically presents the source's data.
Unsupported causeLogic Issues
Contradiction · high
Conflicting values for 'the': 1 vs 2.5
"Heuristic: Values conflict between P1 and P2"
Contradiction · high
Conflicting values for 'the': 1 vs 04650
"Heuristic: Values conflict between P1 and P3"
Contradiction · high
Conflicting values for 'the': 2.5 vs 04650
"Heuristic: Values conflict between P2 and P3"
Core Claims
"Fernando Haddad leads the Senate race in São Paulo according to a Paraná Pesquisas poll."
Polling data attributed to the institute Paraná Pesquisas. Named secondary
"Marina Silva and Guilherme Derrite are also among the top candidates."
Polling data attributed to the institute Paraná Pesquisas. Named secondary
Logic Model Inspector
Inconsistencies FoundExtracted Propositions (3)
-
P1
"The poll interviewed 1,580 voters between February 6 and 10."
Factual In contradiction -
P2
"The margin of error is 2.5 percentage points."
Factual In contradiction -
P3
"The poll is registered with the TSE under protocol SP-04650/2026."
Factual In contradiction
Claim Relationships Graph
Detected Contradictions (3)
View Formal Logic Representation
=== Propositions === P1 [factual]: The poll interviewed 1,580 voters between February 6 and 10. P2 [factual]: The margin of error is 2.5 percentage points. P3 [factual]: The poll is registered with the TSE under protocol SP-04650/2026. === Constraints === P1 contradicts P2 Note: Conflicting values for 'the': 1 vs 2.5 P1 contradicts P3 Note: Conflicting values for 'the': 1 vs 04650 P2 contradicts P3 Note: Conflicting values for 'the': 2.5 vs 04650 === Detected Contradictions === UNSAT: P1 AND P2 Proof: Heuristic: Values conflict between P1 and P2 UNSAT: P1 AND P3 Proof: Heuristic: Values conflict between P1 and P3 UNSAT: P2 AND P3 Proof: Heuristic: Values conflict between P2 and P3
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