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Brazil's coffee consumption rises 2.44% in first quarter, says industry association

2 sources · 22 May 2026
2 agreed · 0 partial · 0 conflicts

Coffee prices are back within Brazilian families' budgets — and the results show in sales figures. Brazil's coffee consumption grew 2.44% in the first four months of 2026 compared to the same period last year, reaching 4.9 million 60-kilogram bags, according to data from the Brazilian Coffee Industry Association (ABIC) released Tuesday.

Press quotes (1)
Agência Brasil

"Nos primeiros quatro meses deste ano foi registrada uma alta de 2,44% no consumo de café na comparação com o mesmo período do ano passado, alcançando 4,9 milhões de sacas de 60 quilos."

The recovery gained momentum mainly in March, when growth reached 10.25% compared to March 2025. In April, consumption continued rising, but at a slower pace of 3.66%. "The year 2025 was quite resilient for coffee farming in general and culminated in a consumption drop. We started 2026 still not fully recovering, but in March we began showing greater growth," explained ABIC's executive director Celírio Inácio.

Press quotes (2)
Agência Brasil

"Segundo a Associação Brasileira da Indústria de Café (Abic), a recuperação no consumo teve início principalmente em março, quando o crescimento chegou a 10,25% em relação a março de 2025. Em abril, o consumo continuou em alta, mas em um ritmo um pouco menor, em torno de 3,66%."

Agência Brasil

"O ano de 2025 foi bastante resiliente com a cafeicultura em geral e culminou com queda no consumo. Começamos o ano de 2026 ainda não recuperando totalmente, mas em março começamos a mostrar um crescimento maior"

The movement reverses the 2.31% decline recorded between November 2024 and October 2025, when high prices drove consumers away. Traditional coffee became 15.51% cheaper in April 2026 compared to the same month in 2025, costing around R$ 55.34 per kilogram. Of the eight categories monitored by ABIC, only specialty coffees (up 16.9%), decaffeinated (21%) and instant coffee (0.55%) registered price increases.

Press quotes (2)
Agência Brasil

"No ano passado, devido à alta nos preços, o consumo de café caiu 2,31% entre novembro de 2024 e outubro de 2025 na comparação com o período anterior."

Agência Brasil

"No caso do café tradicional, a queda foi de 15,51% em abril deste ano na comparação com o mesmo mês do ano passado, com o quilo custando em torno de R$ 55,34."

The sector projects a record harvest in 2026, with potential to surpass even the 2020 crop. According to the National Supply Company (Conab), production should grow 18% compared to the previous harvest, reaching 66.7 million bags — the largest in the historical series. "Maintaining this harvest expectation, the industry should naturally transfer this to retail," said ABIC president Pavel Cardoso.

Press quotes (2)
Agência Brasil

"Na manhã desta quinta-feira (21), a Companhia Nacional de Abastecimento (Conab) divulgou que a produção de café deverá crescer 18% na safra deste ano frente ao volume colhido na temporada passada, alcançando 66,7 milhões de sacas."

Agência Brasil

"Em 2026 nós teremos uma safra maior do que a de 2025, com potenciais chances de ser maior do que em 2020, quando tivemos uma safra recorde. Havendo uma manutenção nessa expectativa de safra, a gente tende a ter um comportamento mais regular dessas plantações e, com isso, a indústria naturalmente deve transferir isso [essa queda nos preços] para o varejo"

1. What we know (2)

Coffee consumption grew 2.44% in first four months of 2026, reaching 4.9 million bags

2 sources Agência Brasil A Crítica

Growth peak occurred in March (10.25%) followed by April (3.66%)

2 sources Agência Brasil A Crítica
2. Where coverage thins out (0)

Covered by only some sources, or where the accounts diverge.

No gaps or divergences found — sources converge.

3. What we don't know yet (4)
  • What is ABIC's exact methodology for measuring coffee consumption?

    Why it's still unknown: Reports don't detail whether data includes the entire industry universe or a sample, nor specify if there's seasonal adjustment.

    Did not cover: Agência Brasil A Crítica
  • How does growth compare with analyst expectations?

    Why it's still unknown: No source mentions prior consumption projections or whether the 2.44% result surprised the market.

    Did not cover: Agência Brasil A Crítica
  • What is the impact of regional differentiation on consumption?

    Why it's still unknown: Presented data is national, without breakdown by regions or urban centers versus interior.

    Did not cover: Agência Brasil A Crítica
  • Is there measurable correlation between income variation and coffee consumption in the period?

    Why it's still unknown: Reports attribute growth to price drops, but don't present income data or price-elasticity.

    Did not cover: Agência Brasil A Crítica

All sources

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